Labor Market Pulse ArchiveSubscribe to a report

Metro Job Market Pulse · General Market Conditions · September 2026

General Market Conditions Labor Market Report: Eugene-Springfield, OR MSA — September 2026

Eugene's jobless rate looks stable — payrolls tell a different story.

Lane County unemployment held at 5.1% in August, but nonfarm payrolls declined over the year even as the labor force grew, while average weekly wages of $1,177 continue trailing the national $1,459 figure by nearly a fifth.

Free archive edition. Published by WageScape as sent to subscribers; data as of September 2026.

Key indicators

  • Lane County unemployment rate: 5.1% — Essentially flat vs 5.2% a year ago
  • Lane County avg weekly wage: $1,177 — vs national average of $1,459 (Q3 2025)
  • Oregon 12-month payroll change: -16,100 jobs — Oregon ranks 48th nationally for payroll growth
  • National wage growth vs inflation: 3.0% vs 3.4% — First sustained real-wage decline in two years

Key takeaways

Stable unemployment is hiding a shrinking job base.

Lane County's 5.1% rate looks steady year over year, but nonfarm payrolls actually declined over the same period while the labor force grew by hundreds of workers. That combination signals more job seekers chasing a static number of positions, a softer condition than the headline rate alone suggests.

Health care remains the metro's only consistent growth engine.

Health care and social assistance added roughly 1,300 jobs locally since 2019 and continues posting monthly gains even as professional services and manufacturing contract. Area wage data showing Certified Nursing Assistant pay up moderately to $52,596 reinforces that this sector is absorbing a disproportionate share of local economic activity.

Lane County's wage gap with the nation is widening, not closing.

Average weekly wages of $1,177 trail the national figure of $1,459 by roughly 19%, and local management pay runs about $12 an hour below national levels. That gap matters less as a workforce statistic and more as a signal of relative regional purchasing power and competitiveness for outside investment.

Manufacturing's two-year slide continues to weigh on the broader mix.

Oregon manufacturing has shed 14,600 jobs statewide over two years, and Lane County's own job losses in late 2025 and into 2026 track that pattern. A metro once anchored partly by manufacturing is increasingly dependent on health care and government stability to hold its employment base steady.

Median advertised pay by role — Eugene-Springfield, OR MSA

General Market Conditions roles, September 2026. Source: WageScape.
Role25th percentileMedian advertised pay75th percentileMetro trendNational median
Retail Sales Associate$28,806$35,360$38,480Stable$33,325
Retail Cashier$31,115$33,280$34,320Stable$31,200
Warehouse/Fulfillment Associate$34,113$38,480$41,600Stable$38,000
CDL Truck Driver$60,762$77,142$85,429Moderate increase$78,000
Delivery Driver$30,604$33,957$39,780Moderate decline$34,344
Construction Laborer$39,520$43,680$44,720Stable$40,560
Electrician$63,742$89,625$91,780Stable$71,404
Manufacturing Production Worker/Assembler$32,344$35,360$37,440Moderate decline$39,520
Customer Service Representative$35,360$39,520$42,120Stable$39,520
Food Service Worker$32,038$37,825$40,601Moderate increase$33,756
Certified Nursing Assistant / Home Health Aide$45,760$52,596$56,625Moderate increase$41,106
Administrative Assistant/Office Clerk$38,480$45,228$47,840Significant increase$43,680
HVAC Technician$72,800$75,920$81,120Moderate decline$70,720
Registered Nurse$91,650$111,229$119,600Stable$102,581
Software Engineer$91,214$156,259$170,000Moderate increase$153,652
Data Engineer$78,964$101,806$137,212Moderate increase$139,500
Accountant$60,285$71,500$79,649Stable$72,182
Financial Analyst$88,281$95,878$97,397Moderate increase$94,782
HR Generalist/Manager$58,145$69,000$85,000Significant increase$75,000
Marketing Specialist$46,451$54,440$65,520Moderate decline$62,354
Operations Manager *$73,495$84,271$95,506Significant decline$85,216
Elementary/Secondary School Teacher$37,440$62,646$71,798Significant increase$56,731
Account Manager$67,912$91,356$112,459Significant increase$92,749
Warehouse Manager *$62,370$79,475$109,959Significant decline$75,000
Business Analyst$62,733$83,932$95,464Stable$98,279

* State-level figure shown where metro postings were too few.

WageScape's median is calibrated to correct for spurious low-value postings (reported as the 60th percentile of raw advertised pay). Download: CSV · JSON

Industry snapshot

SectorMedian advertised payPay trendPostings trend
Construction$56,173StableSignificant decline
Manufacturing$44,096StableSignificant increase
Retail Trade$40,558Moderate increaseModerate decline
Transportation, Warehousing & Utilities$64,006Significant increaseModerate decline
Information$56,426Moderate increaseSignificant decline
Financial Activities$52,002Moderate declineModerate decline
Professional & Business Services$68,666Moderate increaseSignificant increase
Education & Health Services$55,850StableSignificant decline
Leisure & Hospitality$34,434StableSignificant decline
Government$67,587Significant increaseSignificant decline

Local market conditions

Lane County's unemployment rate held at 5.1% in August, essentially unchanged from a year ago, while total nonfarm payroll employment slipped over the same period even as the local labor force continued to grow — a pattern consistent with what Oregon economists statewide are calling a "low-hire, low-fire" stall rather than contraction. Health care and financial services continue to carry the metro's job growth, while administrative support, retail, and manufacturing remain well below pre-pandemic employment levels, leaving the area's industry mix more concentrated in service and care work than it was five years ago.

What it means

Flat payrolls alongside a growing labor force point to an economy absorbing new workers without adding net jobs, which typically shows up locally as softer retail traffic, slower commercial leasing decisions, and more cautious capital investment by area businesses. For commerce leaders, the widening wage gap between Lane County's $1,177 average weekly wage and the national $1,459 figure is less a hiring issue than a regional purchasing-power and competitiveness question, particularly as it relates to attracting outside investment and retaining spending within the local economy. Current conditions suggest monitoring sector-level payroll data as closely as the headline unemployment rate, since a stable jobless rate can mask structural shifts already under way beneath it.

Looking ahead

Expected release: Oregon Employment Department publishes September county-level data on October 14. Watch whether Lane County's payroll decline extends a third consecutive month or stabilizes, which would clarify whether this is a plateau or a longer slide.

Worth watching: Statewide personal income tax withholding was revised sharply upward for 2026, suggesting wages and employment may be outperforming survey-based estimates. If that materializes locally, it would be a meaningful upside counter-signal to the flat payroll trend.

Emerging pressure point: Oregon WARN notices remain historically low (six-month average of 261), but national WARN activity involving large employers like Amazon and Meta suggests continued volatility elsewhere. Any spillover into Eugene-area logistics or distribution operations would be an early test of local resilience.

Potential inflection point: National wage growth has slipped to 3.0%, below 3.4% inflation, marking the first sustained real-wage decline in two years. If that national trend persists into Lane County data, it would compound an already wide local-to-national wage gap and merits close tracking for its effect on local consumer spending.

Methodology

Advertised pay from active employer job postings, not survey data. WageScape's median is calibrated to correct for spurious low-value postings: distribution analysis shows roughly the lowest 10% of raw values are erroneous entries, so the reported median is the 60th percentile of raw advertised pay. WageScape observes 98% of U.S. job openings daily.

Free to read and cite with attribution to WageScape. Terms of use.